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Wednesday, August 31, 2011

World stock trend


LONDON: World stocks rose for the fourth session in a row on Wednesday on hopes the U.S. Federal Reserve will ride to the economy's rescue with another stimulus package, though global shares were still set to post their biggest monthly drop in 15 months.

Copper prices also rose while the dollar slipped against the Swiss franc and the yen.

Gold, bolstered during August by safe-haven buying, eased 0.1 percent. However, it was poised to post its biggest monthly rise since November 2009.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds also fell sharply this month, with the Treasury yields down more than 21 percent -- heading to their biggest monthly percentage drop since December 2008.

Tuesday's slump in U.S. consumer confidence to its lowest in two years, along with Fed minutes showing policymakers discussed a range of unusual tools they could use to help the economy, further bolstered expectations that the U.S. central bank is ready to act.

The Fed's decision to hold a two-day meeting in September instead of a one-day session has already helped stabilise financial markets after a steep sell-off earlier in August on concerns over slowing global growth and the euro zone debt crisis.

"Although the release of the FOMC meeting minutes offered little in the way of consensus as to precisely what the central bank will do next, it does still leave the door open for further action so this may well help keep the general sentiment upbeat," said Cameron Peacock, market analyst at IG Markets.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index of leading shares climbed 1.2 percent, though it was still down 12 percent in August and set for its biggest monthly fall since October 2008 after the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

World equities measured by the MSCI All-Country World Index advanced 0.6 percent. The benchmark is down 8.2 percent this month, heading for its worst monthly percentage drop since May last year.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei average ended flat and was down 8.9 percent in August, its biggest one month decline in 15 months.

DOLLAR DIPS

Expectations of further stimulus from the U.S. weighed on the dollar, which was down 0.9 percent at 0.8126 francs and 0.1 percent at 76.58 yen on Wednesday.

"In the run up to the September FOMC, we're probably going to have a bit more chatter about QE3...which is likely to keep the dollar weak," said Andrew Robinson, FX analyst for Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore.

The U.S. currency was down 1.2 percent in August versus the yen, despite Tokyo's efforts to weaken its currency through intervention. The greenback is down 5.6 percent this year against the yen, which has held its safe-haven appeal.

The euro was down 0.1 percent at $1.4435, though the single currency is up 7.9 percent against the dollar this year, largely helped by Asian investors' moves to diversify their assets.

Copper added 0.7 percent, up for the sixth day in a row, while Brent crude steadied to trade just below $114 a barrel.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries were up 1 basis point at 2.1899 percent after falling 60 basis points in August. Benchmark Bund yields have dropped nearly 40 percent over the same period.

Indian PC sales going to touch 11.15 million units in 2011


The India PC market is expected to see sales of 11.15 million units in the 2011 calendar year, according to a study.
According to market research, consulting and advisory services firm CyberMedia Research, sales are expected to accelerate further by 14% to 12.71 million units in 2012. The study pointed out that with nearly 10 million unit sales in 2010, the combined installed base of desktop and notebook personal computers in India is estimated to have crossed 52 million units as of December 31, 2010.
The current installed base of personal computers translates into one computer for every 25 Indians, doubling the per capita PC availability in just four years. At the end of 2006, there was approximately one computer for every 50 Indians.
    
The first tablet computer was launched in India in November, 2010. Since then, the market has seen a slew of launches by both MNC and Indian players.
    
While models like Cisco's Cius and RIM's Blackberry Playbook tablets are focused on the enterprise user segment, the Samsung Galaxy Tab and Reliance 3G Tab manufactured by Chinese telecom manufacturer ZTE are focused on the consumer segment.
    
The firm expects tablets to become the new battleground as major MNCs and Indian vendors and operators race to capture a share of this emerging market.
    
The first half of 2011 witnessed subdued sales in the Indian PC market on account of lower offtake by the government, public and private sector. Lower consumer demand also added to the slack sales.
    
This situation is expected to correct itself in the July-September, 2011, quarter as strong demand from the education sector is usually witnessed at the commencement of the new academic session.
    
Consumer buying is also expected to be higher in the July-December period of 2011 on account of festive season buying.
    
Domestic demand in the large and SMB enterprise segments is expected to remain healthy as well.
    
However, a 'wait-and-watch' buying sentiment may continue in the corporate sector due to the ongoing uncertain economic environment in the US, Europe and Japan.
    
The other major development with a likely impact on companies' shares of the PC market was HP's announcement on August 18-19 that it was spinning off its PC business, the study added.

Growth in commercial credit offtake slows to 19%


               Hit by high interest rates, growth in commercial credit offtake from banks by major sectors slowed to 18.9% in July, 2011, from 20% in the same month last year.
While the farm sector and industry reported lower credit offtake in July, 2011, vis-a-vis the same month of 2010, year-on-year growth was higher in case of services and personal loans, as per the latest data released by the RBI. Total outstanding non-food or commercial credit disbursement stood at Rs 37.28 lakh crore in July this year, up from Rs 31.35 lakh crore in the same month of the previous fiscal.
Commercial credit offtake of all the sectors combined was Rs 26.13 lakh crore in July, 2009.
    
"On a year-on-year basis, non-food gross bank credit increased by 18.9% in July, 2011, as compared with 20% in the corresponding period of last year," the RBI said.
    
The RBI had last month revised its non-food credit growth projection for this fiscal downward to 18% from the earlier estimate of 19%.
    
The decline in credit offtake is on account of the RBI's monetary tightening policy. The apex bank has raised its key policy rates 11 times since March, 2010, in a bid to tame inflation, which is currently above 9%.
    
Gross bank credit, which also includes food credit, grew by 19.1% in July on an annual basis, as against a growth of 19.8% in the same month of 2010.
    
This is on account of a massive 31.9% jump in food credit offtake during the month under review, as against a mere 9.2% growth in July last year.
    
Food credit offtake stood at Rs 67,461 crore in July this year, compared to Rs 51,281 crore in July last year. Food credit offtake had stood at Rs 46,971 crore in June, 2009.
    
Last fiscal, non-food credit offtake increased by 21.5%, much above the RBI's projection of 20%.
    
As per the latest data, total credit disbursement to agriculture and allied areas grew by only 11.8% in July, 2011, as against a growth of 19.9% in the same month of 2010.
    
It was Rs 4.43 lakh crore in July, 2011, compared to Rs 3.96 lakh crore in July last year. In July, 2009, it stood a Rs 3.30 lakh crore.
    
"Credit to industry increased by 21.2% (year-on- year) in July, 2011, as compared with 27.7% in the previous year...," the RBI said.
    
On an annual basis, total credit disbursement to industry -- which includes infrastructure, metals, food processing, rubber, plastic and their products and engineering -- was Rs 16.79 lakh crore in July, compared to Rs 13.85 lakh crore in the same month last year. It stood at Rs 10.84 lakh crore in July, 2009.
However, there was a moderate increase in the rate of growth of credit offtake from banks by the services sector.
    
"Credit to the services sector increased by 21.3% (year-on-year) in July, 2011, up from 17.4% in the previous year," the RBI said.
    
The sector saw bank credit offtake rise to Rs 9.06 lakh crore in July this year from Rs 7.47 lakh crore in the corresponding month last year. In July, 2009, the figure was Rs 6.36 lakh crore.
    
Within services, while segments like transport, computer software, tourism and wholesale trade witnessed slower growth in the offtake of credit during the month, disbursements to non-banking financial companies saw a big jump.
    
"Credit growth to NBFCs at 55.6% on a year-on- year basis in July, 2011, was significantly higher than that of 10.9% growth during the corresponding period of the previous year," the apex bank said.
    
Bank credit disbursement to the NBFC segment stood at Rs 1.73 lakh crore in July this year, as against Rs 1.11 lakh crore in the same month last year. Credit disbursement to NBFCs stood at Rs 10.03 lakh crore in July, 2009.
    
Credit extended to the personal loans sector also went up by 15.4% during July, 2011, compared to a growth of 8% during the same month a year ago.
    
During the month under review, total credit offtake by the sector stood at Rs 6.98 lakh crore, as against Rs 6.05 lakh crore in July, 2010. In July, 2009, the sector had availed credit to the extent of Rs 5.60 lakh crore.

Saturday, August 20, 2011

The BSE benchmark Sensex falling agin and again..


The BSE benchmark Sensex posted its longest four-week losing streak since October 2008 as it plunged by 698 points to end at the 15-month low of 16,141.67 during the truncated week in line with mayhem in global markets on economic worries.
The stock markets, BSE and NSE, were closed on Monday, August 15, on account of the 'Independence Day'.
Increased selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) also was one of the major reasons for the turmoil. FIIs pulled out over Rs 2,000 crore this week, taking the total to over Rs 7,600 crore in August so far.
Enduring European debt problems and murky US economic data released on Thursday indicated the world is going into another recession, distressing the market sentiment globally.
On the domestic front, higher inflation and rising interest rates, which might restrict the corporate profit growth, continued to weigh on the market.
The downslide commenced from July 26 when RBI raised key lending rates by 50 basis points, higher than the market expectations. The situation was further exacerbated by external factors.
Sensex-based key stocks like RIL, Infosys, ICICI Bank, SBI, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel, Sterlite, Wipro, Hindalco, Tata Power logged their new 52-week lows.
The Bombay Stock Exchange 30-share bellwether index resumed higher at 17,015.99 but later dipped below 16,000 to a low of 15,987.77, before ending at 16,141.67, lowest closing after May 25, 2010, a net loss of 697.96 points, or 4.14 per cent, from its last weekend's close.

Gold in a new peek of Rs. 28,230 per 10 grams


Gold in new peek of Rs. 28,230 per 10 grams

Gold price in a new peek of Rs 28,230 per 10 grams increased Rs 80 on sustained buying by stockists and investors amid firm global trend.

Trading trends remained bullish as gold rose to a record, above 1,880 dollar an ounce in New York, rallying on concern over altering US economy and deepening European sovereign debt crisis.
On the domestic front, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity added Rs 80 to set fresh peak of Rs 28,230 and Rs 28,080 per ten grams respectively.
Sovereign held steady at Rs 22,400 per piece of eight gram.
Silver ready spurted by Rs 3,500 to Rs 66,300 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 3,795 to Rs 66,485 per kg.
Silver coins surged by Rs 4,000 to Rs 73,500 for buying and Rs 74,500 for selling of 100 pieces.